Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.161472 3.651980 4.195297 4.842083 5.591599 6.433479 7.451803
2024-10-20 2.464595 3.093145 3.850080 4.830166 6.067945 7.582375 9.580974
2024-10-27 1.884346 2.540165 3.389066 4.571378 6.180717 8.302571 11.325583
2024-11-03 1.618482 2.326738 3.305151 4.760826 6.881761 9.875217 14.449566
2024-11-10 1.434873 2.186487 3.287889 5.028017 7.725870 11.778587 18.383769
2024-11-17 1.252643 2.012152 3.186265 5.145496 8.360128 13.472634 22.312970
2024-11-24 1.085119 1.828925 3.036310 5.154527 8.815672 14.952304 26.159781
2024-12-01 0.915459 1.612094 2.794433 4.965981 8.902797 15.827929 29.129530
2024-12-08 0.774149 1.419487 2.560767 4.747763 8.892121 16.517108 31.868162
2024-12-15 0.698742 1.331724 2.496125 4.820189 9.415936 18.245305 36.847640
2024-12-22 0.611408 1.207672 2.345244 4.703183 9.554190 19.257105 40.586000
2024-12-29 0.580908 1.188501 2.390064 4.975304 10.506316 22.019982 48.419078
2025-01-05 0.536635 1.137833 2.370934 5.126781 11.263156 24.569155 56.425120
2025-01-12 0.486638 1.067644 2.301663 5.161901 11.779921 26.705215 63.959361
2025-01-19 0.420180 0.951577 2.117522 4.913452 11.619005 27.308352 68.032898
2025-01-26 0.397555 0.929992 2.137673 5.136284 12.597500 30.727249 79.722021
2025-02-02 0.381865 0.921937 2.187253 5.437679 13.822047 34.963867 94.407461
2025-02-09 0.356965 0.887898 2.170465 5.573081 14.655057 38.376509 107.637801
2025-02-16 0.327932 0.839095 2.110345 5.587981 15.177538 41.081136 119.495110
2025-02-23 0.291280 0.765250 1.976448 5.386242 15.080050 42.104270 126.735649
2025-03-02 0.257636 0.694116 1.838793 5.150916 14.846149 42.703993 132.838041
2025-03-09 0.241479 0.667598 1.815226 5.230844 15.534242 46.076860 148.283237
2025-03-16 0.218639 0.619185 1.725057 5.104326 15.589157 47.591304 158.125149